Goldman Sees S&P Tumbling To 3150 When The Recession Hits
The chart below summarizes the potential S&P 500 levels at year-end 2022 based on various EPS and P/E scenarios (which a first year analyst can do on their own, of course). The scenarios assume that by year-end consensus 2023 EPS forecasts move halfway from current estimates to eventual actual EPS. For example, if the consensus 2023 EPS estimate moves halfway to our top-down forecast of $239 and the P/E multiple remains at 17x, the implied index level would equal 4165. If the EPS estimate moves to $225, halfway to the recession scenario of $200, a 14x P/E would bring the S&P 500 to 3150.
Mike Wilson: The S&P 500 Is Headed Toward 3,400 Before A More Tradable Low Is In
Given the growing evidence of slowing growth and the risk to earnings, that estimate could even rise further and is why we think the S&P 500 is headed toward 3,400 before a more tradable low is in.
Mike Wilson: The S&P 500 Is Headed Toward 3,400 Before A More Tradable Low Is In https://t.co/3HLnUOqeUh
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