◆S&P500積立◆最悪のシナリオで3150まで下落：ゴールドマン

【速報】1㌦=135円に 円安とまらず。さきほど節目の135円をつけました。年明けからの円の下落幅は20円近くに。主因は日米の金利差。今週の日米の金融政策会合に注目が集まります。

The chart below summarizes the potential S&P 500 levels at year-end 2022 based on various EPS and P/E scenarios (which a first year analyst can do on their own, of course). The scenarios assume that by year-end consensus 2023 EPS forecasts move halfway from current estimates to eventual actual EPS. For example, if the consensus 2023 EPS estimate moves halfway to our top-down forecast of $239 and the P/E multiple remains at 17x, the implied index level would equal 4165. If the EPS estimate moves to $225, halfway to the recession scenario of $200, a 14x P/E would bring the S&P 500 to 3150.

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